Ageing dynamics of a human-capital-specific population

The case of Italy

SPEAKER

Dimiter Philipov, Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (Austria)

Anne Goujon, Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (Austria)

Paola Di Giulio, Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (Austria)

DESCRIPTION

Research on the effect of rising human capital on the consequences of population ageing rarely considers the fact that the elderly population has its own human capital composition achieved through earlier schooling and work experience. Hence, for an elderly population of a fixed size and age-sex composition, the higher its human capital, the higher is the total amount of public pensions to be paid. We construct an old age dependency ratio (OADR) where we assign to each person a number of units corresponding to his/her level of human capital. The dynamics of this human capital-specific OADR is examined using data for Italy. Multistate population methods were utilized for long-term projections to 2107. Under specific conditions, a constant or a moderately increasing human capital may cause aggravation of consequences of population ageing rather than their alleviation.

EVENT DETAILS

International seminar
2013-01-24

VENUE

European Centre